Excluding China, India, and Russia, which country has the greatest potential to become the world's next superpower in the way that the United States is an economic and military superpower?
Ravi Thatté, worked at China
Superpower is an expression that generally means a combination of economic and military power.
The importance of the ability to fight wars had been declining steadily over the last few decades until China laid claims to a lot of areas in the South China Sea.
In this aspect, the decks are stacked in favour of the existing military superpowers, who are also the producers of war goods and no other country can start late and take over this leadership. The existing powers will also not allow that to happen.
If it comes to economic power, BRICS is the reply, so if we take away China, India, Russia we are left with Brazil and South Africa.
Both these countries have abundant natural resources. Both suffer from - how to put it delicately - inadequate governments. They will probably need some expertise to help them grow. They are certainly capable of becoming economic powerhouses.
But they cannot progress beyond economic strength; they would still have to rely on external supplies to gain military strength and that is a disqualifier ab initio for getting a superpower status.
Nikhil Sharma, Proud Indian
I am surprised no one mentioned Germany
→ Free education including university degree
→ Amazing Research facilities
→ German is the third most commonly taught language worldwide
Diplomacy and World Relations:
→ Superb diplomatic Relations (Best Passport to have )
→ German Army (Bundeswehr) is the second largest in EU and is among top-10 best funded forces in the world.
→ GDP is strong (One of the major Economies in the EU)
→ has an important role in international issues
→ Best Transport System (trains on time, high speed connectivity, moreover there is no speed limit on nearly 65% of highway)
→ Highest recycling rate(nearly 70%)- need to use renewable products to sustain
→ Skilled Labor & Workers Rights (unemployed workers in Germany are entitled to redundancy pay of a month’s wages for every year they’ve worked at a company)
→ Outstanding record in the Olympics (Second country in total no. of medals only after USA)
→ Home to Companies like- Siemens, Daimler, Volkswagen, Adidas, BMW etc.
Thomas Edward, Geopolitic & Tech, Research in US, China, India & Asia.
1.Excluding China, India, and Russia,
2.Which country has the greatest potential to become the world's next superpower
3.In the way that the United States is an economic and military superpower?
So with these 3 conditions, it will be certainly Germany lead EU after Brexit(US Trojan horse). Why?
Both Economy & Military superpower need scale of population & highest technology to achieve. Size does matter. This one has all the right combinations.
译文来源：三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/48156.html 译者：Joyceliu
Surabhi Shivmath, I Am a Millenial (1992-present)
Edit: Couldn’t write a good answer since i tried typing on mobile with bad internet. Anywho, here is my answer as to why Israel has a great potential to become worlds’ next superpower.
First, lets understand what power means w.r.t international relations. There is no well defined or commonly accepted definition to it,however, most of us generally measure it in terms of military and economic power.Power could also be described in terms of influence over other nations within international system or as security (i.e the ability to protect itself from repeated or significant challenges).
So, why Israel?
Ever since the advent of Jews into Israel, the nation has been under threat by each and every neighbor it is surrounded with(namely, Jordan, Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Iraq). This has forced Israel to foster an environment of strong defense culture combined with innovation.Now, the unique thing about Israel Defense Forces(IDF) is its unhierarchical culture which allows junior officers to continuously evolve and are even allowed to question their senior officers. This fosters equal opportunity and evolution of creative solution to pressing problems. This is the reason why a country of 7 million has been able to churn out second largest start-ups in the world next to USA(recently, India overtook Israel, however India has a population of 1.2 billion). Also, Israel has the largest number of companies listed in NASDAQ next to USA, and greater than EU. This could translate into economic power if Israel goes in the right direction(i.e improve its image and international relations with other countries).
Unlike India, Israel was(or is?) not gifted with resourceful and rich land. Israel is nothing but mostly desert. Yet, this did not stop them from becoming major exporter of fresh produce or from being a world leader in agriculture technology. They are independent when it comes to food as well as water.They pioneered drip-irrigation, hydroponic and various other types of farming. This makes them unbeatable w.r.t food, agriculture and water management.
We give very little credit to how Israel has affected our lives. From google suggest(the drop down box that predicts your search) to Intel Duo 2 microprocessors that changed the face of chips design, to drip irrigation that changed the face of agriculture throughout the world,Israel sure is one hell of a powerful country(and a superpower in making!).
Shrinivas S, Bharatiya
Q:Excluding China, India, and Russia, which country has the greatest potential to become the world's next superpower?
In the way that the United States is an economic and military superpower, what is the country that has the greatest potential to attain that status and when can we expect that it will?
A: I do not think- India, China or Russia are superpowers today, maybe 15 years later China may become one and 25 years later India has a chance to become one. Russia is not a superpower today and difficult for it to become one again.
But there are regional powers that be that can be formed-
1.Brazil in South America- Rich in natural resources, huge size, plentiful food, sun, beaches, coastline, water, nature. Brazil is the regional hegemon (already it is one) of South America as it controls nearly half the total land area of South America and retains the Portuguese language despite all other South and Central American countries being Spanish speaking.
2.South Africa- Long Coast line, good amount of natural resources, rich in farm, food, water and sun. Has the power to become the regional hegemon of Southern part of Africa (already is to an extent).
3.Indonesia- Largest country by size and population in South-East Asia, Muslim country with a history of functioning democracy (to an extent), no major religious schism (there are problems), lot of sun, coastline, sand, some natural resources. Can become a power in South-East Asia (already is attempting to become).
4.Egypt- More or less most powerful and most populated Arab country, has plentiful water due to the Nile delta unlike other Arab nations, if it solves its internal trouble can become the hegemon of West Asia and Northern Africa (like it was historically).
Summary- These are just projections based on current and past records and may change.
We cant exclude these countries to next 100 years from such race.if We go continent wise then we realize why..
1.North America: USA is already a superpower over here which may be not remain in next decade. remaining countries dont have such potential
- South America: Brazil is a developing country but corruption in government not a good news for them. Other countries like Argentina,Venezuela already fighting with there own domestic problems.
- Europe: after a WWII these continent lost their flora & fauna. France,England & Germany are developed countries & they have extra-ordinary weapons. But they dont have such good standing forces which can fight face to face. Since last year its proved they cant fight against even terrorism.
- Africa: Most of African countries still fighting with basic needs of life.
- Australia: Geographical location of this continent is far away from main other land. Its not convenient to be a superpower.
- Asia: For next 100 years we cant exclude Asia from superpower race.
My favor goes to India. To be a superpower any country need Good Economical condition, well disciplined security forces & talented peoples.
Russia is just big country nowadays with old technology & demolished political approach so they are not in race here.
China have that all potential points that i mentioned above. big country,big security forces with technology & weapons.
India have power to lead good countries in this world. India is not a attacking & not expansionist. India is good knowledge partner also to other countries. But problem is political will & surrounded by two worse attacking countries.one Pakistan the leader of terrorism & China the expansionist.
As its Disciplined country my favor goes to India!!
Raymond Lockey, former Goodwill Ambassador the the PRC for the US Department of Commerce
If Prime Minister Abe changes the Japanese Constitution to allow Japan to once again have a standing military service—not a defense force—being it is among the world’s top ten populations, has the third largest economy and is highly advanced technologically and quite capable of developing advanced weapon systems as evident by its space industry and its development of its own advanced stealth fighter plan (even though it is buying the US F-35), it would be the top pick.
The second pick would be Brazil, which is also among the top ten populations in the world, reasonably technologically advanced, has a large geographical territory with natural commodity and energy resources, and Japan has an aircraft and space industry making strides every year. Also like Japan, it has nuclear power and the ability to develop nuclear weapons if it wished. Unlike Japan, its economy is in a shambles, its political system is very corrupt and is also at the brink and both have had an effect on its currency valuation.
Ian Bremmer, political scientist
Japan. Because, aside from China and the United States, they're the most likely to first develop artificial intelligence. The economy is strongly oriented toward R&D in automation, robotics and AI;
Alex Rounds, Writer, Culinarian, Musician, Wisenheimer.
Great Britain used to be a great superpower, and I think they can again. But I suspect they would not be so motivated. What drove them before was the massive power they could extract from their widespread military and trade franchises.
Britain saw the effects of their taking and rejected it, so by the end of the First World War, they were far less a presence, and by the middle of the century began releasing the remaining colonies. The effects of Great Britain’s glory days are still felt today, from the almost universal use of English as a second language, to legal systems and parliamentary system.
If the world needs another superpower, Great Britain is my vote, but you need a way to pay for it, and in the past that was a real sore point among all its colonies
Rajat Gupta, studied at India
No one, USA is the last superpower and after that no country will achieve that amount of status. We will not see unipolar world in which a country is powerful as USA was in 90s after splitting of USSR. However we will see multipolar world in which regional superpowers such as China, India, Japan, Russia, South Africa and USA will combine to dominate the world.
A country is superpower not because of its military and economical dominance but because of its soft power. No country has impact on other countries through its pop culture, movies, language, cuisine, MNCs etc like USA. Thus i believe that nobody can achieve status superpower unless a country has soft power comparable to USA.
It is impossible to tell that a single country has the greatest potential to become the world’s next superpower. Looking at the present and the future, UK, Australia and South Africa have a slim chance of becoming a superpower but on the other side there are countries like Saudi Arabia (oil), Japan (nuclear power, human resource & technology), Germany (technology & economy), France (economy & global player), Switzerland (economy & money), South Korea (technology) and lastly Israel (military, human resource) have great potential to become a superpower. Other significant countries that possess the potential to become a superpower are :-
- i) Iran
- ii) Turkey
- iv) Italy
- v) Brazil
- vi) Venezuela
Countries in Europe obviously are going to become superpowers. Japan also is becoming a superpower with a huge economy by producing many electronic objects. If you are talking about developing countries, Brazil and South Africa from the BRICS nations are really booming. However these two are not close to being a super power. By the way, India is not a super power yet. It is a potential superpower. But with an increase in gdp of about 10% per year, India is very much starting to become a superpower.
Abhishek Agarwal, Nothing to say
How do you define a superpower?
Taking few words from PM Modi’s last interview with TimesNow “The world order has changed, it is no more a bipolar world now. The world will be now more interconnected and interdependent.” I don't think we will ever see a time where one country exerts the same power that U.S does today. The word superpower doesn’t tell us anything that's not subjective, is it military strength or financial might? Maybe it's both ? So there's no easy way to tell when someone becomes a superpower. That said I think “superpowers” of the future will have Foreign policies to exert their influence, not based on just Military and economy.